Yes, that's the question. Right now the Ohio polling shows Obama ahead(!) by anywhere from 4 to 14 points. How can that be, he asks himself. Remember that I also raised questions when the polls showed West Virginia going for Obama by eight points shortly after they had shown McCain ahead by eight, and I did not move WV from my McCain electoral votes column. WV has corrected itself (or the pollsters have corrected themselves), and McCain has a comfortable lead in that state.
But Ohio? Senator Sherrod Brown (one of the several people I had suggested to be considered for VP on Obama's ticket) was on Rachel Maddow's show last evening, and indicated his belief that Ohio was moving toward Obama. He didn't phrase it quite like this, but what he implicitly said was that it takes Ohioans a little longer to get the point. And the point right now is that McCain's economic policies will continue the disasters of the dubya administration. Maybe Brown is right, and perhaps my original thought that Ohio would vote for Obama was also correct, before I saw that the trend in the state a couple of months ago was favoring McCain. That trend seems to have peaked, and to have reversed.
For now, I'm keeping Ohio as a Tossup state, but if it does go for Obama, the fat lady will have sung. And I'm NOT talking about any individual Ohioan. Remember: I'm a Buckeye too, and lived a great eight years there!
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